Richards Bayvs
Sekhukhune United
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sekhukhune United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Richards Bay 0-0 Sekhukhune United, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Richards Bay 2-3 Sekhukhune United
Original prediction
Sekhukhune United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.28 | 27.7% | 29.5% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.85 | 31.9% | 30.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 40.4% | 39.7% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Projected Score
Richards Bay 0–0 Sekhukhune United
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Sekhukhune United
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Sekhukhune United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40