Richards Bayvs
Kaizer Chiefs
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 8/26/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kaizer Chiefs · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Richards Bay 2-2 Kaizer Chiefs
Original prediction
Kaizer Chiefs
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.97 | 23.0% | 26.2% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.86 | 31.9% | 29.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 45.1% | 44.0% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Kaizer Chiefs
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Kaizer Chiefs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00