Rhylvs
Buckley Town
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 9/12/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhyl · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rhyl 3-3 Buckley Town
Original prediction
Rhyl
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.7% | 47.5% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 22.5% | 22.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.14 | 21.8% | 29.9% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Rhyl
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Rhyl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RhylDWLDW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Buckley TownWLWLD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RhylBuckley Town
52.4Attack57.1
52.4Defence47.6
42.9Form33.3
50.6Power44.8
1.87xG1.52