Y Rhyl 1879vs
Brickfield Rangers
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 10/3/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brickfield Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Y Rhyl 1879 2-3 Brickfield Rangers
Original prediction
Brickfield Rangers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.8% | 19.2% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 19.1% | -5.7 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.4% | 61.6% | 19.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Brickfield Rangers
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
Brickfield Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40