GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/9/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rhode Island are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rhode IslandLDWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesWWDDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Rhode IslandTampa Bay Rowdies
52.9Attack63.2
62.7Defence66.7
49.0Form71.9
55.0Power68.3
1.08xG1.35
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