Rhode Islandvs
Sporting JAX
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhode Island · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Rhode Island are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sporting JAX are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 25.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.3% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rhode Island
Probability
77.3%
Model confidence
77.3%
Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75