GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rhode Island · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Rhode Island are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sporting JAX are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 25.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.3% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rhode Island

Probability

77.3%

Model confidence

77.3%

Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rhode IslandWLLWD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sporting JAXLLWD

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Rhode IslandSporting JAX
52.9Attack40.4
62.7Defence10.5
49.0Form14.0
55.0Power25.1
2.91xG0.76
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