Rhode Islandvs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/17/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rhode Island 0-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rhode Island 1-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Original prediction
Rhode Island
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.7% | 46.2% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.1% | 29.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.53 | 20.1% | 23.9% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Projected Score
Rhode Island 0–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Rhode Island
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00