Rhode Islandvs
Monterey Bay
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhode Island · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Rhode Island are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Monterey Bay are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and rhode Island hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the USL Championship, favouring Rhode Island with 14.0% confidence, a 44% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rhode Island
Probability
70.2%
Model confidence
14.0%
Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80