Rhode Islandvs
Monterey Bay
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rhode Island 3-1 Monterey Bay
Original prediction
Rhode Island
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Rhode Island
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
68.4%
Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rhode IslandLWLWW
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Monterey BayDLLLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rhode IslandMonterey Bay
50.0Attack34.9
61.1Defence41.3
46.3Form25.4
52.7Power36.1
1.98xG0.71