Rhode Islandvs
Loudoun United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rhode Island 1-0 Loudoun United
Original prediction
Rhode Island
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.9% | 54.5% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.9% | 24.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 5.01 | 18.2% | 21.2% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–012%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Rhode Island
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00