Rhode Islandvs
Detroit City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rhode Island are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Detroit City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60