Rhode Islandvs
Birmingham Legion
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 5/2/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Rhode Island are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Birmingham Legion are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rhode Island
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40