GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 5/2/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rhode Island · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Rhode Island are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Birmingham Legion are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rhode Island hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the USL Championship, while Rhode Island holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rhode Island

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Rhode Island has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rhode IslandDWWDL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Birmingham LegionDDWDL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rhode IslandBirmingham Legion
52.9Attack35.3
62.7Defence58.8
49.0Form33.3
55.0Power45.0
1.45xG0.70
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