Rheindorf Altach Wvs
Sturm Graz W
COMPLETEDAustria · Frauenliga · 10/18/2026, 10:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sturm Graz W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rheindorf Altach W 0-2 Sturm Graz W
Original prediction
Sturm Graz W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 25.8% | 37.8% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.2% | 24.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.76 | 51.0% | 38.1% | -12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sturm Graz W
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Sturm Graz W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40