Rågsvedvs
Örebro Syrianska
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Svealand · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rågsved · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rågsved 2-2 Örebro Syrianska
Original prediction
Rågsved
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.8% | 43.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.9% | 27.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.3% | 29.0% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Rågsved
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Rågsved has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00