Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyköping · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rågsved are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nyköping are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyköping hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Nyköping holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nyköping
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Nyköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40