Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haninge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rågsved 2-1 Haninge
Original prediction
Haninge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 34.0% | 37.0% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.7% | 19.2% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.3% | 43.8% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Haninge
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Haninge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RågsvedWLLWD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HaningeWDLDW
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RågsvedHaninge
63.2Attack84.2
45.6Defence40.4
50.9Form63.2
54.4Power60.5
2.44xG2.63