Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Farsta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rågsved are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Farsta are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Farsta hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (58.5 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Farsta holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Farsta
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Farsta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00