UEFA Europa Conference LeagueUEFA Europa Conference League
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:07
Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

Home
WW
41
Full time
Vestri

Vestri

Away
L
Lnk Sporta Parks
GoalVio prediction
70% confidence
Rīgas FS(70%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Rīgas FS
70%
Draw
20%
Vestri
10%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Rīgas FS
73
Vestri
73
Defence
Rīgas FS
82
Vestri
0
Momentum
Rīgas FS
100
Vestri
0
Danger (xG)
Rīgas FS
1.80
Vestri
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Rīgas FS)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Vestri)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Rīgas FS)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Vestri)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Rīgas FSRīgas FS
WWWWW
VestriVestri
LLLDW

Probability breakdown

70% confidence
Rīgas FS70%
Draw20%
Vestri10%

Rīgas FS leads with 70% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Rīgas FS head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Lnk Sporta Parks in decent form (WW), while Vestri arrive in mixed form (L). Rīgas FS have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Vestri over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Rīgas FS (73/100) and Vestri (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Rīgas FS have won all 3 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game at home. Vestri have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

Vestri have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Rīgas FS and Vestri in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Rīgas FS to win with 70% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Rīgas FS 7030%, Draw 1950%, Vestri 1020%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

W
vs Glentoran
16 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Glentoran
9 Jul 2026
21
W
vs BFC Daugavpils
30 Jun 2026
31
W
@ FK Liepaja
26 Jun 2026
20
W
vs Ogre United
22 Jun 2026
60
Vestri

Vestri

L
vs Qarabag
16 Jul 2026
03
xG 0.0
L
vs Fylkir
13 Jul 2026
25
L
@ Qarabag
9 Jul 2026
03
xG 0.0
D
@ Throttur Reykjavik
27 Jun 2026
11
W
@ Ægir
17 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Rīgas FS vs Vestri?

GoalVio's model predicts Rīgas FS to win with 70% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Vestri?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Rīgas FS vs Vestri?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rīgas FS vs Vestri?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more