GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/14/2024, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rīgas FS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rīgas FS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while UE Santa Coloma are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 42.1-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 5.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rīgas FS

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rīgas FSWWWLW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
UE Santa ColomaLLLWL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rīgas FSUE Santa Coloma
50.0Attack0.0
55.6Defence0.0
38.9Form0.0
47.1Power5.0
1.99xG0.96
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