Rīgas FSvs
Super Nova
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 4/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Rīgas FS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Super Nova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (81.2 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.7% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
84.7%
Model confidence
84.7%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40