VirsligaVirsliga
Monday, 22 June 2026Last updated 10:10
Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

Home
WW
60
Full time
Ogre United

Ogre United

Away
W
LNK Sporta Parks
GoalVio prediction
81% confidence
Rīgas FS(81%)
Most likely exact score3-0
Prediction correct— Result: Rīgas FS
Win probability
Rīgas FS
81%
Draw
11%
Ogre United
8%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Rīgas FS
73
Ogre United
99
Defence
Rīgas FS
82
Ogre United
27
Momentum
Rīgas FS
100
Ogre United
100
Danger (xG)
Rīgas FS
1.80
Ogre United
3.60
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Rīgas FS)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Ogre United)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Rīgas FS)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Ogre United)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Rīgas FSRīgas FS
WWWWW
Ogre UnitedOgre United
WLWLL

Probability breakdown

81% confidence
Rīgas FS81%
Draw11%
Ogre United8%

Rīgas FS leads with 81% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Rīgas FS head into this in Virsliga fixture at LNK Sporta Parks in decent form (WW), while Ogre United arrive in mixed form (W). Rīgas FS have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Ogre United over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Rīgas FS (73/100) and Ogre United (99/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Rīgas FS have won all 3 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game at home. Ogre United have won 1 of their last 4 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 3.8 conceded per away game.

Rīgas FS have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 6.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Rīgas FS to win with 81% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 3-0. Win probabilities: Rīgas FS 8100%, Draw 1130%, Ogre United 770%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Rīgas FS 1Draws 00 Ogre United
Avg goals: 6.0
22 Jun 2026
Rīgas FS
W60
Ogre United

Recent form

Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

W
vs Glentoran
16 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Glentoran
9 Jul 2026
21
W
vs BFC Daugavpils
30 Jun 2026
31
W
@ FK Liepaja
26 Jun 2026
20
W
vs Ogre United
22 Jun 2026
60
Ogre United

Ogre United

W
@ Valmiera / BSS
12 Jul 2026
42
L
@ FK Liepaja
30 Jun 2026
04
W
vs Tukums
26 Jun 2026
32
L
@ Rīgas FS
22 Jun 2026
06
L
@ Super Nova
16 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Rīgas FS vs Ogre United?

GoalVio's model predicts Rīgas FS to win with 81% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Ogre United?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 3-0.

Will both teams score in Rīgas FS vs Ogre United?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rīgas FS vs Ogre United?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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