Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rīgas FS are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while KuPS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20