Rīgas FSvs
Galatasaray
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/3/2024, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rīgas FS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Galatasaray are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20