Rīgas FSvs
FS Jelgava
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 5/21/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Rīgas FS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FS Jelgava are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 44.3-point power-rating edge (81.2 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
89.6%
Model confidence
16.4%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40