Rīgas FSvs
FK Liepaja
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 9/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (13%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Rīgas FS 0-0 FK Liepaja
Original prediction
Rīgas FS
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.30 | 69.5% | 79.2% | 9.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.90 | 18.5% | 13.5% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 7.53 | 12.0% | 7.3% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
79.2%
Model confidence
79.2%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rīgas FSLWDWL
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
FK LiepajaWLWWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rīgas FSFK Liepaja
84.0Attack46.4
75.3Defence51.2
85.2Form47.6
80.5Power49.5
2.84xG0.64