GGOALVIO

Latvia · Virsliga · 4/5/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Rīgas FS are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while FK Liepaja are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (81.2 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.5% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rīgas FS

Probability

80.5%

Model confidence

80.5%

Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rīgas FSWWDDD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
FK LiepajaLDWWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Rīgas FSFK Liepaja
82.7Attack44.0
77.3Defence50.7
86.7Form45.3
81.2Power47.7
2.90xG0.60
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