VirsligaVirsliga
Tuesday, 30 June 2026Last updated 12:35
Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

Home
WW
31
Full time
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

Away
D
LNK Sporta Parks
GoalVio prediction
79% confidence
Rīgas FS(79%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Prediction correct— Result: Rīgas FS
Win probability
Rīgas FS
79%
Draw
13%
BFC Daugavpils
8%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Rīgas FS
73
BFC Daugavpils
94
Defence
Rīgas FS
82
BFC Daugavpils
6
Momentum
Rīgas FS
100
BFC Daugavpils
33
Danger (xG)
Rīgas FS
1.80
BFC Daugavpils
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Rīgas FS)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (BFC Daugavpils)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Rīgas FS)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (BFC Daugavpils)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Rīgas FSRīgas FS
WWWWW
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
DLDLL

Probability breakdown

79% confidence
Rīgas FS79%
Draw13%
BFC Daugavpils8%

Rīgas FS leads with 79% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Rīgas FS head into this in Virsliga fixture at LNK Sporta Parks in decent form (WW), while BFC Daugavpils arrive in mixed form (D). Rīgas FS have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for BFC Daugavpils over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Rīgas FS (73/100) and BFC Daugavpils (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Rīgas FS have won all 3 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game at home. BFC Daugavpils have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.

Rīgas FS have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Rīgas FS to win with 79% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Rīgas FS 7890%, Draw 1320%, BFC Daugavpils 780%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Rīgas FS 2Draws 00 BFC Daugavpils
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS in 1/2
30 Jun 2026
Rīgas FS
W31
BFC Daugavpils
13 May 2026
Rīgas FS
W10
BFC Daugavpils

Recent form

Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS

W
vs Glentoran
16 Jul 2026
20
W
@ Glentoran
9 Jul 2026
21
W
vs BFC Daugavpils
30 Jun 2026
31
W
@ FK Liepaja
26 Jun 2026
20
W
vs Ogre United
22 Jun 2026
60
BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils

D
@ Riga Mariners
11 Jul 2026
33
L
@ Rīgas FS
30 Jun 2026
13
D
vs Riga
25 Jun 2026
00
L
@ FK Liepaja
17 May 2026
01
L
vs Rīgas FS
13 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?

GoalVio's model predicts Rīgas FS to win with 79% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rīgas FS vs BFC Daugavpils?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more