GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/22/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rīgas FS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rīgas FS are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Apoel Nicosia are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Apoel Nicosia hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rīgas FS

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rīgas FSWWWWW

GF 21 · GA 4 · avg 4.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Apoel NicosiaDLDWD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Rīgas FSApoel Nicosia
50.0Attack50.0
55.6Defence50.0
38.9Form50.0
47.1Power53.0
1.55xG1.22
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