GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Anderlecht · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Rīgas FS are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Anderlecht are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Anderlecht holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Anderlecht

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Anderlecht has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rīgas FSWWWLW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AnderlechtWLWLW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Rīgas FSAnderlecht
50.0Attack66.7
55.6Defence66.7
38.9Form83.3
47.1Power75.3
1.25xG1.49
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