GGOALVIO

Belgium · Reserve Pro League · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RAAL La Louviere U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

RFC de Liege U21 1-1 RAAL La Louviere U21

Original prediction

RAAL La Louviere U21

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home6.3214.3%28.7%14.4 pts
Draw5.9115.3%22.8%7.4 pts
Away1.2970.3%48.5%-21.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-21.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–19%
  2. 2.1–28%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

RAAL La Louviere U21

Probability

48.5%

Model confidence

48.5%

RAAL La Louviere U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RFC de Liege U21WLLLL

GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
RAAL La Louviere U21DLWWW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
RFC de Liege U21RAAL La Louviere U21
22.2Attack50.0
11.1Defence33.3
33.3Form58.3
25.8Power50.0
1.76xG2.09
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