RFC de Liege U21vs
Kortrijk U21
COMPLETEDBelgium · Reserve Pro League · 9/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kortrijk U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
RFC de Liege U21 1-0 Kortrijk U21
Original prediction
Kortrijk U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20.33 | 4.6% | 23.5% | 18.9 pts |
| Draw | 9.67 | 9.6% | 21.7% | 12.1 pts |
| Away | 1.08 | 85.8% | 54.8% | -31.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-31.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Kortrijk U21
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Kortrijk U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 23 · avg 0.40/4.60
GF 20 · GA 4 · avg 4.00/0.80