GGOALVIO

World · OFC Champions League · 8/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tupapa Maraerenga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Rewa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Tupapa Maraerenga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tupapa Maraerenga hold a 44.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the OFC Champions League, while Tupapa Maraerenga holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tupapa Maraerenga

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

8.9%

Tupapa Maraerenga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RewaLDLLL

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Tupapa MaraerengaLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
RewaTupapa Maraerenga
33.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence58.3
0.0Form58.3
15.3Power59.6
1.58xG2.31
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