Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Retz

Retz

Home
D
21
Full time
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Gerasdorf Stammersdorf33%
Retz33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score0-0
Win probability
Retz
33%
Draw
33%
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Retz
9
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
9
Defence
Retz
91
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
6
Momentum
Retz
33
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
0
Danger (xG)
Retz
0.00
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
0.00
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.84 xG for Retz and 0.98 xG for Gerasdorf Stammersdorf. Gerasdorf Stammersdorf's projected xG of 0.98 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Retz's Defensive Stability Score (91) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (9). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.82 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Retz's Defensive Stability (91) and Gerasdorf Stammersdorf's (6) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Retz)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Gerasdorf Stammersdorf)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Retz)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Gerasdorf Stammersdorf)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
RetzRetz
D
Gerasdorf StammersdorfGerasdorf Stammersdorf
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Retz33%
Draw33%
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf33%

Gerasdorf Stammersdorf leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Retz vs Gerasdorf Stammersdorf: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Retz take on Gerasdorf Stammersdorf in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.84 for Retz and 0.98 for Gerasdorf Stammersdorf. The gap of 0.86 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Retz

Retz

D
vs Gloggnitz
16 May 2026
00
Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

L
@ LAC-Inter
17 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Retz vs Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Retz vs Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-0.

Will both teams score in Retz vs Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Retz vs Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more