Resovia Rzeszówvs
Lechia Zielona Góra
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/11/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lechia Zielona Góra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Resovia Rzeszów 0-1 Lechia Zielona Góra
Original prediction
Lechia Zielona Góra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.8% | 29.8% | -16.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.1% | 24.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.0% | 45.7% | 17.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Lechia Zielona Góra
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Lechia Zielona Góra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00