Resovia Rzeszówvs
Avia Świdnik
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avia Świdnik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Resovia Rzeszów 1-1 Avia Świdnik
Original prediction
Avia Świdnik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.8% | 29.3% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.2% | 27.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.0% | 43.0% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Avia Świdnik
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Avia Świdnik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60