Resovia Rzeszówvs
Arka Gdynia
COMPLETEDPoland · Cup · 9/2/2026, 5:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arka Gdynia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Resovia Rzeszów 0-4 Arka Gdynia
Original prediction
Arka Gdynia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.10 | 21.9% | 34.0% | 12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 26.8% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.67 | 53.8% | 39.1% | -14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Arka Gdynia
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Arka Gdynia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00