GGOALVIO

Hong-Kong · Premier League · 9/3/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Resources Capital · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Resources Capital are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while HK U23 are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Resources Capital hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (18.5 v 16.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Premier League, while Resources Capital holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Resources Capital

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Resources Capital has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Resources CapitalLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
HK U23LL

GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/3.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 2/2
Resources CapitalHK U23
21.7Attack20.0
8.3Defence0.0
11.7Form15.0
18.5Power16.2
1.69xG1.43
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