GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 4/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Resistencia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Resistencia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Independiente F.b.c. are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.2 against 50.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Division Intermedia, while Resistencia holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Resistencia

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

14.7%

Resistencia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ResistenciaWLDLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente F.b.c.WDDWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ResistenciaIndependiente F.b.c.
38.9Attack48.1
59.3Defence53.7
46.3Form42.6
50.2Power50.1
1.16xG1.07
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