Resistenciavs
Guairena FC
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Resistencia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Resistencia 0-0 Guairena FC, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Resistencia 2-1 Guairena FC
Original prediction
Resistencia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.0% | 42.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.2% | 32.5% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 27.8% | 25.2% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Projected Score
Resistencia 0–0 Guairena FC
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Resistencia
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Resistencia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ResistenciaLLDWD
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Guairena FCLWDLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ResistenciaGuairena FC
34.9Attack30.2
63.5Defence61.9
46.0Form38.1
50.3Power45.4
0.87xG0.59