Resistenciavs
Deportivo Santani
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Santani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Resistencia 0-1 Deportivo Santani, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Resistencia 1-2 Deportivo Santani
Original prediction
Deportivo Santani
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 31.5% | 28.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.2% | 30.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.3% | 40.8% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Resistencia 0–1 Deportivo Santani
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Santani
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Deportivo Santani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20