Resistenciavs
Cerro Porteno
COMPLETEDParaguay · Copa Paraguay · 8/27/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerro Porteno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Resistencia 0-1 Cerro Porteno
Original prediction
Cerro Porteno
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.74 | 13.5% | 32.2% | 18.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.5% | 26.1% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 65.1% | 41.7% | -23.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Cerro Porteno
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Cerro Porteno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00