Resistenciavs
3 de Noviembre
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Resistencia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Resistencia 1-0 3 de Noviembre, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Resistencia 1-2 3 de Noviembre
Original prediction
Resistencia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.3% | 47.9% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.1% | 27.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 29.6% | 24.9% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Projected Score
Resistencia 1–0 3 de Noviembre
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Resistencia
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Resistencia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20