Republic of Ireland U21vs
Kazakhstan U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Republic of Ireland U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Republic of Ireland U21 4-3 Kazakhstan U21
Original prediction
Republic of Ireland U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 75.4% | 62.0% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.73 | 15.9% | 22.2% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 10.42 | 8.8% | 15.9% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–113%
Predicted outcome
Republic of Ireland U21
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
62.0%
Republic of Ireland U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40