Republic of Ireland U21vs
England U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
England U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Republic of Ireland U21 3-1 England U21
Original prediction
England U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.34 | 17.1% | 14.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.9% | 19.3% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.49 | 61.1% | 65.8% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
England U21
Probability
65.8%
Model confidence
65.8%
England U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80