Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rentistas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Rentistas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Paysandu are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rentistas hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 44.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Segunda División, while Rentistas holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rentistas
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
16.3%
Rentistas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60