Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rentistas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rentistas 0-0 Oriental, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rentistas 0-2 Oriental
Original prediction
Rentistas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.4% | 38.4% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.7% | 31.1% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 24.9% | 30.6% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Projected Score
Rentistas 0–0 Oriental
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Rentistas
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Rentistas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RentistasWWWDD
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
OrientalDLWLW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
RentistasOriental
37.5Attack42.7
66.7Defence65.3
50.0Form50.7
53.6Power54.6
0.83xG0.78