Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Rentistas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Oriental are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.9 against 52.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60