Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rentistas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Rentistas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Miramar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Rentistas hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (52.9 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Segunda División, while Rentistas holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rentistas
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Rentistas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20