Segunda DivisiónSegunda División
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 14:59
Rentistas

Rentistas

Home
00
Full time
Cerrito

Cerrito

Away
WD
Complejo Rentistas
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Rentistas(38%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Rentistas
38%
Draw
29%
Cerrito
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Cerrito)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Cerrito)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
CerritoCerrito
WDWD

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Rentistas38%
Draw29%
Cerrito33%

Rentistas leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Rentistas head into this in Segunda División fixture at Complejo Rentistas in unknown form, while Cerrito arrive in mixed form (WD).

Rentistas have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Cerrito have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Rentistas and Cerrito in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Rentistas to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Rentistas 3826%, Draw 2860%, Cerrito 3314%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Cerrito

Cerrito

W
vs Miramar
12 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Tacuarembo
5 Jul 2026
00
W
vs Plaza Colonia
28 Jun 2026
10
D
@ Uruguay Montevideo
16 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Rentistas vs Cerrito?

GoalVio's model predicts Rentistas to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Rentistas vs Cerrito?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Rentistas vs Cerrito?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rentistas vs Cerrito?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more