Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Rentistas are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.33 scored and 0.33 conceded, while Cerrito are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.9 against 52.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 1.33/0.33
GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/2.50