Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rentistas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Rentistas 0-0 Atenas, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Rentistas 3-0 Atenas
Original prediction
Rentistas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.3% | 37.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.4% | 30.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.3% | 32.4% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Projected Score
Rentistas 0–0 Atenas
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Rentistas
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Rentistas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RentistasLLWLW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AtenasDWDDW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
RentistasAtenas
39.3Attack42.9
64.3Defence64.3
50.0Form53.6
53.3Power55.1
0.90xG0.84